Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.32/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.30
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.0 Crosses 16.0
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Aucas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.19 xG 1.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
187 Passes 340
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
15.02.2025 Aucas Aucas 4-1 HT 3-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
13.08.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-0 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
10.03.2024 Aucas Aucas 3-1 HT 2-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
17.09.2023 Aucas Aucas 2-4 HT 2-3 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
15.04.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
18.09.2022 Aucas Aucas 5-2 HT 3-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-1
AWAY Aucas
1.30 xG 1.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
231 Passes 348
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario and Aucas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 43% of the ball to Aucas's 57%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.30 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 2.50 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 31%, draw 27%, Aucas 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aucas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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