Deportivo Cuenca vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Cuenca v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Cuenca vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
Deportivo Cuenca 4-1 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Cuenca cruised past El Nacional 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Cuenca as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 46% of the ball to El Nacional's 54%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 3.37 to 0.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.17 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs El Nacional?
Deportivo Cuenca 4-1 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 45%, draw 30%, El Nacional 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.