El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
El Nacional 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Cuenca squeezed past El Nacional 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Deportivo Cuenca made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, El Nacional had 67% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 33%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured El Nacional.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for El Nacional and 0.83 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca?
El Nacional 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 39%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cuenca 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Nacional) went the other way.