Macara vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v Orense — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Macara
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
Orense
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-1
Macara
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
Orense
EKV1
Macara 1-0 Orense — Actual Match Statistics
Macara edged past Orense 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Macara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Macara had 25% of the ball to Orense's 75%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.68 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Macara's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Macara and 0.67 for Orense.
What was the final score of Macara vs Orense?
Macara 1-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs Orense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Macara 39%, draw 30%, Orense 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.