Macara 0-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Apr 2024

Macara
0-0 HT 0-0
Orense
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Macara vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Macara v Orense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.46/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.32
-15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.0 Crosses 14.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Macara vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Orense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
234 Passes 313
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.07.2022 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
01.03.2022 Macara Macara 1-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
02.10.2021 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
17.04.2021 Macara Macara 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
15.11.2020 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-1 Orense Orense EKV1
14.09.2020 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 0-2 Macara Macara EKV1

Macara 0-0 Orense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
0-0
AWAY Orense
0.45 xG 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
291 Passes 209
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Macara vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara and Orense played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Macara at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Macara had 56% of the ball to Orense's 44%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.45 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Macara and 0.83 for Orense.

What was the final score of Macara vs Orense?

Macara 0-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Macara 48%, draw 27%, Orense 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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