Deportivo Cuenca 3-3 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +24%
1.17/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.28
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
238 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.5 Crosses 15.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aucas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
262 Passes 256
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
28.05.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
30.07.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-2 Aucas Aucas EKV1
12.03.2022 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
07.11.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
23.05.2021 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
3-3
AWAY Aucas
1.79 xG 1.94
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
220 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca and Aucas shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 41% of the ball to Aucas's 59%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.79 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.83 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Deportivo Cuenca 3-3 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 37%, draw 29%, Aucas 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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