Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Tecnico Universitario — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
1-3
HT 1-3
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-0
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
1-3
HT 0-2
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 1-2 Tecnico Universitario — Actual Match Statistics
Tecnico Universitario squeezed past Mushuc Runa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 42% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 58%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.36 to 0.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mushuc Runa.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mushuc Runa and 0.67 for Tecnico Universitario.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario?
Mushuc Runa 1-2 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 41%, draw 26%, Tecnico Universitario 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.