Deportivo Cuenca vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Cuenca v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Cuenca vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
2-2
HT 1-1
El Nacional
EKV1
Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 61% of the ball to El Nacional's 39%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.09 to 1.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.33 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs El Nacional?
Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 46%, draw 26%, El Nacional 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.