Kerry 1-2 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.75
+141% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Athlone Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
15.09.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
09.06.2023 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.03.2023 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town nicked a narrow win over Kerry 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Athlone Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kerry and 1.25 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Kerry 1-2 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kerry 32%, draw 28%, Athlone Town 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athlone Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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