19/04/2024
·
20:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Herrestads vs Kongahalla Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
30%
Draw
24%
37%
Away Win
39%
42%
Under 2.5
41%
58%
Over 2.5
59%
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
40%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Herrestads v Kongahalla — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Herrestads
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kongahalla
EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-2%
/
+30%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
6
307 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
462 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Herrestads vs Kongahalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Herrestads and Kongahalla shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Herrestads vs Kongahalla?
Herrestads 2-2 Kongahalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Kongahalla?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 33%, draw 30%, Kongahalla 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongahalla) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Kongahalla)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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