Cagliari 2-2 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.65
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.76
1/2
4%
28.5
1/X
10%
15.45
X/1
11%
8.03
X/2
14%
4.04
X/X
10%
4.06
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.58
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.15/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.30
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
19.9 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Juventus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.68 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
297 Passes 477
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
09.04.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-2 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
21.12.2021 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
14.03.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-3 HT 0-3 Juventus Juventus İTA
21.11.2020 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 2-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
29.07.2020 Cagliari Cagliari 2-0 HT 2-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
2-2
AWAY Juventus
2.19 xG 0.66
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
127 Passes 499
63% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari and Juventus couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cagliari had 26% of the ball to Juventus's 74%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 2.19 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cagliari and 1.83 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Juventus?

Cagliari 2-2 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 26%, draw 26%, Juventus 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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