Genoa vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Lazio — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTK
0-1
HT 0-1
Genoa
İTA
4-1
HT 2-1
Lazio
HAZ
1-4
HT 0-2
Lazio
İTA
3-1
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTA
4-3
HT 2-0
Genoa
İTA
Genoa 0-1 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio nicked a narrow win over Genoa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lazio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Genoa had 39% of the ball to Lazio's 61%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.52 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Genoa and 2.17 for Lazio.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Lazio?
Genoa 0-1 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Lazio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Genoa 33%, draw 27%, Lazio 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.