BAE U23 0-2 Japonya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
53%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
12%
+15.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
53%
Away Win
68%
-14.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 72%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.98/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.13
+97% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 81%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
15.0 Crosses 19.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BAE U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Japonya U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.98 xG 0.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
246 Passes 315
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.06.2022 BAE U23 BAE U23 1-2 HT 0-0 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BAE U23
0-2
AWAY Japonya U23
0.17 xG 3.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 12
252 Passes 386
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 47
12 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH BAE U23 vs Japonya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U23 saw off BAE U23 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Japonya U23 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BAE U23 had 41% of the ball to Japonya U23's 59%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.17 to 3.31.

What was the final score of BAE U23 vs Japonya U23?

BAE U23 0-2 Japonya U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BAE U23 vs Japonya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split BAE U23 27%, draw 20%, Japonya U23 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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