Tacikistan U23 2-4 Irak U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 19 Apr 2024

Tacikistan U23
2-4 HT 1-2
Irak U23
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2024

Tacikistan U23 vs Irak U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tacikistan U23 v Irak U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacikistan U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Irak U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tacikistan U23 2-4 Irak U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tacikistan U23
2-4
AWAY Irak U23
1.32 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
333 Passes 387
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tacikistan U23 vs Irak U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak U23 saw off Tacikistan U23 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Irak U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tacikistan U23 had 48% of the ball to Irak U23's 52%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.32 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Tacikistan U23 vs Irak U23?

Tacikistan U23 2-4 Irak U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacikistan U23 vs Irak U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Irak U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tacikistan U23 28%, draw 23%, Irak U23 49%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Irak U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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