Elversberg 1-1 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 Apr 2024

Elversberg
1-1 HT 1-0
Schalke 04
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Elversberg vs Schalke 04 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
16%
5.93
X/2
8%
5.75
X/X
12%
5.37
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.42
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elversberg v Schalke 04 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -26%
0.93/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.96
-26% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
14.3 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Elversberg vs Schalke 04 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Schalke 04
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 2.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
299 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-2 HT 1-2 Elversberg Elversberg AL2

Elversberg 1-1 Schalke 04 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
1-1
AWAY Schalke 04
2.00 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
280 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg and Schalke 04 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Elversberg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Elversberg had 46% of the ball to Schalke 04's 54%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.00 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Schalke 04?

Elversberg 1-1 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 41%, draw 25%, Schalke 04 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elversberg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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