Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
3-1
HT 3-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
4-0
HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
3-2
HT 2-1
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
Newcastle Jets 1-1 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Newcastle Jets had 36% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 64%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 1.41 to 3.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.33 for Wellington Phoenix.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Newcastle Jets 1-1 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 37%, draw 27%, Wellington Phoenix 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets), Over 2.5 went the other way.