GOSK Gabela 1-0 Tuzla City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuzla City EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -14%
1.79/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.52
+45% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GOSK Gabela
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tuzla City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.10.2023 Tuzla City Tuzla City 2-2 HT 1-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
30.07.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-4 HT 1-1 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GOSK Gabela
1-0
AWAY Tuzla City
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GOSK Gabela vs Tuzla City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GOSK Gabela nicked a narrow win over Tuzla City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 33% — and on the day GOSK Gabela made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, GOSK Gabela had 45% of the ball to Tuzla City's 55%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tuzla City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GOSK Gabela and 3.00 for Tuzla City.

What was the final score of GOSK Gabela vs Tuzla City?

GOSK Gabela 1-0 Tuzla City in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GOSK Gabela vs Tuzla City?

Before kick-off our model rated a GOSK Gabela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split GOSK Gabela 37%, draw 29%, Tuzla City 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GOSK Gabela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GOSK Gabela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
19 Apr 2024
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