AS Ain Mlila 1-1 E Sour Ghozlane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ain Mlila EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY E Sour Ghozlane EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.75/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +54%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
522 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH AS Ain Mlila vs E Sour Ghozlane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ain Mlila and E Sour Ghozlane shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. AS Ain Mlila carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of AS Ain Mlila vs E Sour Ghozlane?

AS Ain Mlila 1-1 E Sour Ghozlane in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ain Mlila vs E Sour Ghozlane?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ain Mlila win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AS Ain Mlila 57%, draw 24%, E Sour Ghozlane 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Ain Mlila), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Ain Mlila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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