USM El Harrach 2-0 HB Chelghoum Laid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Chelghoum Laid EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.01/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.01
-44% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
403 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs HB Chelghoum Laid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach beat HB Chelghoum Laid 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs HB Chelghoum Laid?

USM El Harrach 2-0 HB Chelghoum Laid in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs HB Chelghoum Laid?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 55%, draw 28%, HB Chelghoum Laid 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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