AC Horsens 1-1 FC Helsingor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.08
X/2
10%
8.75
X/X
10%
4.98
2/1
5%
23.6
2/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.71
2/X
6%
14.95
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.71 — our 18% vs market 10.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
22%
+13.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.85/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.48
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 75%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
21.4 Crosses 14.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Helsingor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.51 xG 1.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 406
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-2 HT 1-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
18.08.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
13.05.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-3 HT 1-2 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
03.04.2022 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 0-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
04.03.2022 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
06.08.2021 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
1-1
AWAY FC Helsingor
0.60 xG 0.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
320 Passes 346
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs FC Helsingor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens and FC Helsingor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was AC Horsens at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, AC Horsens had 50% of the ball to FC Helsingor's 50%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.60 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AC Horsens had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AC Horsens and 1.17 for FC Helsingor.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs FC Helsingor?

AC Horsens 1-1 FC Helsingor in the Denmark 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs FC Helsingor?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 42%, draw 23%, FC Helsingor 35%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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