KaPa 1-1 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Apr 2024

KaPa
1-1 HT 1-1
SalPa Salo
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen – 2024

KaPa vs SalPa Salo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KaPa v SalPa Salo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.01/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.64
+50% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +95%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5

KaPa vs SalPa Salo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SalPa Salo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.03.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-2 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
01.10.2023 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINY
21.07.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.05.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 2-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
25.07.2014 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
31.05.2014 KaPa KaPa 0-3 HT 0-2 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİNKAK

KaPa 1-1 SalPa Salo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-1
AWAY SalPa Salo
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KaPa vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and SalPa Salo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KaPa had 51% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 49%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SalPa Salo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for KaPa and 1.83 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of KaPa vs SalPa Salo?

KaPa 1-1 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KaPa 40%, draw 28%, SalPa Salo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KaPa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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