SJK Seinajoki 1-0 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
9%
5.8
X/2
17%
5.44
X/X
7%
4.97
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.46
2/X
10%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.25/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.37
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
20.1 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.67 xG 1.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 223
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
01.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
13.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
25.02.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 0-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
17.07.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HT 1-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
29.04.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-1 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1-0
AWAY Ilves Tampere
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
224 Passes 595
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki squeezed past Ilves Tampere 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 31% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 69%, shots finished 11-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.50 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere?

SJK Seinajoki 1-0 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 30%, draw 26%, Ilves Tampere 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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