SJK Seinajoki 3-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.03
Over 2.5
39%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 34% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
45%
+15.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
55%
-15.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.2pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.81/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.33
+41% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.67 xG 1.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
330 Passes 223
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
13.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
25.02.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 0-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
17.07.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HT 1-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
29.04.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-1 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
22.10.2021 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 4-2 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki saw off Ilves Tampere 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day SJK Seinajoki made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.67 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere?

SJK Seinajoki 3-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - League Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 35%, draw 30%, Ilves Tampere 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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