EIF 2-5 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 24 Feb 2024

EIF
2-5 HT 0-5
Gnistan
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - League Cup – 2024

EIF vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+11.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EIF v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 50%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

EIF vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Gnistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 1-0 EIF EIF HAZ
07.10.2023 EIF EIF 3-3 HT 2-1 Gnistan Gnistan FINY
15.07.2023 EIF EIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
07.05.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 EIF EIF FİN2
06.07.2022 EIF EIF 0-2 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
30.04.2022 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 0-0 EIF EIF FİN2

EIF 2-5 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
2-5
AWAY Gnistan
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH EIF vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan cruised past EIF 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-5. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gnistan found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, EIF had 45% of the ball to Gnistan's 55%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EIF and 1.17 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of EIF vs Gnistan?

EIF 2-5 Gnistan in the Finland - League Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split EIF 38%, draw 22%, Gnistan 39%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan)
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