KuPS Kuopio 3-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.97
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
8%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.1pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.88/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.41
+18% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Oulu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.39 xG 0.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
420 Passes 358
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
09.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-2 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
04.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
22.06.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
17.05.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
23.02.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3-1
AWAY Oulu
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio beat Oulu 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 54% of the ball to Oulu's 46%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.33 for Oulu.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

KuPS Kuopio 3-1 Oulu in the Finland - League Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 46%, draw 27%, Oulu 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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