VPS 0-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 24 Feb 2024

VPS
0-1 HT 0-0
Haka
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 48%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.12/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.01
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Haka
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.25 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
362 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2023 VPS VPS 4-1 HT 2-1 Haka Haka FİN
22.05.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-2 VPS VPS FİN
28.01.2023 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FLK
30.10.2022 Haka Haka 1-2 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
26.10.2022 VPS VPS 0-3 HT 0-3 Haka Haka FİN
23.07.2022 VPS VPS 3-3 HT 2-2 Haka Haka FİN
POST-MATCH VPS vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka edged past VPS 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Haka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for VPS and 1.83 for Haka.

What was the final score of VPS vs Haka?

VPS 0-1 Haka in the Finland - League Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split VPS 35%, draw 29%, Haka 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FLK More Finland - League Cup
24 Feb 2024
13:30 EIF vs Gnistan Analysis →
15:45 SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere Analysis →
16:00 KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu Analysis →