Odisha FC 2-1 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 19 Apr 2024

Odisha FC
2-1 HT 0-0
Kerala Blasters
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 33% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Odisha FC v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 26%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.95/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.29
+50% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.7 Crosses 16.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.02.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
27.10.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
26.12.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
23.10.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
12.01.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
05.12.2021 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL

Odisha FC 2-1 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
2-1
AWAY Kerala Blasters
2.61 xG 1.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 7
416 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 28
33 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC squeezed past Kerala Blasters 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Odisha FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Odisha FC had 54% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 46%, shots finished 24-17, expected goals 2.61 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Odisha FC and 1.50 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Odisha FC 2-1 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 49%, draw 27%, Kerala Blasters 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odisha FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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