Nottingham Forest U21 3-0 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 19 Apr 2024

Nottingham Forest U21
3-0 HT 2-0
Aston Villa U21
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League 2 (League 1) – 2023/2024

Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.31
No
37%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.8pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest U21 v Aston Villa U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.91/3.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.37/1.25
-100% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.0 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Nottingham Forest U21 3-0 Aston Villa U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
3-0
AWAY Aston Villa U21
2.84 xG 1.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
237 Passes 447
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest U21 swept aside Aston Villa U21 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Nottingham Forest U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Nottingham Forest U21 had 38% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 62%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.84 to 1.39.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 3-0 Aston Villa U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 39%, draw 23%, Aston Villa U21 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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