CS Herediano 1-1 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -2%
2.06/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.74
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CS Cartagines
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-3 HT 0-2 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
09.11.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
10.09.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
21.04.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-3 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
19.02.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
12.09.2022 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-1 HT 2-1 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-1
AWAY CS Cartagines
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano and CS Cartagines shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CS Herediano at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 60% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 40%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CS Herediano and 1.17 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines?

CS Herediano 1-1 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 52%, draw 24%, CS Cartagines 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CS Herediano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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