Managua 1-3 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.9pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.53/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.34
+10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
438 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UNAN Managua
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-3 HT 1-2 Managua Managua NİK
30.11.2023 Managua Managua 4-1 HT 2-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
05.11.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
31.08.2023 Managua Managua 6-2 HT 1-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
24.04.2023 Managua Managua 0-3 HT 0-2 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
13.04.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Managua vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua got the better of Managua 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Managua at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Managua and 1.33 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Managua vs UNAN Managua?

Managua 1-3 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Managua 56%, draw 24%, UNAN Managua 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Managua), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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