Walter Ferretti 1-1 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.39/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.59
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Real Esteli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-0 HT 2-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
06.11.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
31.08.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
03.04.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-2 HT 1-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
09.02.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
18.12.2022 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-2 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti and Real Esteli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.33 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli?

Walter Ferretti 1-1 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 34%, draw 27%, Real Esteli 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Esteli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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