Alianza Lima 3-0 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.95/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.70
+15% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
20.8 Crosses 13.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Lima
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.20 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
329 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.07.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
13.02.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
17.07.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-1 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
13.02.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
01.08.2021 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
17.05.2021 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
3-0
AWAY Sport Boys
2.62 xG 0.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
287 Passes 263
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima cruised past Sport Boys 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 51% of the ball to Sport Boys's 49%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.62 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.33 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys?

Alianza Lima 3-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 60%, draw 22%, Sport Boys 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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