Union Comercio vs Universitario Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Comercio v Universitario — Team-Based Signals
Union Comercio vs Universitario Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Union Comercio
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Universitario
PER
2-1
HT 1-1
Union Comercio
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Universitario
PER
2-1
HT 1-1
Union Comercio
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Universitario
PER
Union Comercio 1-2 Universitario — Actual Match Statistics
Universitario squeezed past Union Comercio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Union Comercio had 44% of the ball to Universitario's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.78 to 1.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Comercio and 1.17 for Universitario.
What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Universitario?
Union Comercio 1-2 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Universitario?
Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 18%, draw 29%, Universitario 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.