Polonia Bytom 1-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2024

Polonia Bytom
1-1 HT 0-0
Kalisz
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Polonia Bytom vs Kalisz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 25% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonia Bytom v Kalisz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
2.10/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.99
+37% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Polonia Bytom vs Kalisz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kalisz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2

Polonia Bytom 1-1 Kalisz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
1-1
AWAY Kalisz
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom and Kalisz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 55% of the ball to Kalisz's 45%, shots finished 21-13.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Kalisz?

Polonia Bytom 1-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 41%, draw 25%, Kalisz 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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