SKRA Czestochowa 0-1 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.52/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.21
+9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
07.10.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 2-1 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
23.10.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 HT 2-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
08.05.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
30.10.2021 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 4-1 HT 2-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
08.05.2021 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce nicked a narrow win over SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Pogon Siedlce found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 2.00 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Pogon Siedlce?

SKRA Czestochowa 0-1 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 2nd Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 36%, draw 25%, Pogon Siedlce 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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