AFC Sudbury 0-0 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over Pick
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.67/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.45
+16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spalding United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
07.09.2024 Spalding United Spalding United 0-3 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Sudbury
0-0
AWAY Spalding United
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury and Spalding United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Spalding United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Sudbury had 45% of the ball to Spalding United's 55%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Spalding United?

AFC Sudbury 0-0 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 34%, draw 23%, Spalding United 43%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spalding United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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