Spalding United 0-3 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
2.03
Over
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
35%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.8pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury swept aside Spalding United 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day AFC Sudbury made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs AFC Sudbury?

Spalding United 0-3 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 34%, draw 33%, AFC Sudbury 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spalding United) ✗ Under 2.5
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