Gainsborough Trinity 3-1 Hebburn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.33/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.36
-17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebburn Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.08.2024 Hebburn Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
3-1
AWAY Hebburn Town
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Hebburn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity saw off Hebburn Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 57% of the ball to Hebburn Town's 43%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Hebburn Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 3-1 Hebburn Town in the England - Non League Premier on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Hebburn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 42%, draw 27%, Hebburn Town 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Under 2.5
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