Hebburn Town 2-1 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Hebburn Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebburn Town squeezed past Gainsborough Trinity 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hebburn Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Hebburn Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Hebburn Town 2-1 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebburn Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebburn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hebburn Town 44%, draw 22%, Gainsborough Trinity 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hebburn Town), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hebburn Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
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