Ilkeston Town 1-1 Macclesfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
27%
+15.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
48%
-16.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 52%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.78/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.96
-42% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Macclesfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 5-3 HT 2-2 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
1-1
AWAY Macclesfield
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Macclesfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town and Macclesfield couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ilkeston Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 47% of the ball to Macclesfield's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Macclesfield led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ilkeston Town and 3.00 for Macclesfield.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Macclesfield?

Ilkeston Town 1-1 Macclesfield in the England - Non League Premier on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Macclesfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 42%, draw 26%, Macclesfield 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilkeston Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
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