Macclesfield 5-3 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.43
Over 2.5
44%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-13.9pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
38%
+18.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
62%
-18.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-15.3pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.99/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.41
+5% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield got the better of Ilkeston Town 5-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Macclesfield made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Ilkeston Town?

Macclesfield 5-3 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 39%, draw 33%, Ilkeston Town 27%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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