Morpeth Town 2-1 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.1pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town edged past Stockton Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Morpeth Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Stockton Town?

Morpeth Town 2-1 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 37%, draw 23%, Stockton Town 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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