Matlock Town 1-2 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.18
Over
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
44%
4-5
14%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.58/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.47
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
307 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matlock Town
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Worksop Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
20.08.2024 Worksop Town Worksop Town 8-0 HT 2-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
17.02.2024 Matlock Town Matlock Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matlock Town
1-2
AWAY Worksop Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Matlock Town vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town squeezed past Matlock Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Worksop Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Matlock Town had 51% of the ball to Worksop Town's 49%, shots finished 3-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Worksop Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Matlock Town and 3.33 for Worksop Town.

What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Worksop Town?

Matlock Town 1-2 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 32%, draw 29%, Worksop Town 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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