Worksop Town 8-0 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.33
Over
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
49%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Worksop Town win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.19/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/2.28
+6% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worksop Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Matlock Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.02.2024 Matlock Town Matlock Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town swept aside Matlock Town 8-0. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Worksop Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Worksop Town and 0.00 for Matlock Town.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Matlock Town?

Worksop Town 8-0 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 53%, draw 25%, Matlock Town 22%. The final score 8-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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