Degerfors vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Degerfors v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals
Degerfors vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Degerfors
İSÇ
1-2
HT 1-1
Elfsborg
İSÇ
1-1
HT 0-0
Degerfors
İSÇ
0-6
HT 0-4
Elfsborg
İSÇ
5-1
HT 2-1
Degerfors
İSÇK
Degerfors 0-1 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics
Elfsborg nicked a narrow win over Degerfors 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Degerfors had 57% of the ball to Elfsborg's 43%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.59 to 2.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Degerfors and 3.00 for Elfsborg.
What was the final score of Degerfors vs Elfsborg?
Degerfors 0-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Elfsborg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 33%, draw 26%, Elfsborg 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.