Elfsborg 2-2 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 3 Mar 2024

Elfsborg
2-2 HT 0-1
Degerfors
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2023/2024

Elfsborg vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
15%
6.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 17%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.48/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.66
+24% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Elfsborg vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Degerfors
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.59 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
22.04.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
14.10.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
01.05.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-6 HT 0-4 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
06.03.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 5-1 HT 2-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
28.10.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Elfsborg 2-2 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
2-2
AWAY Degerfors
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg and Degerfors shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Elfsborg at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Elfsborg had 61% of the ball to Degerfors's 39%, shots finished 19-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Elfsborg and 1.00 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Degerfors?

Elfsborg 2-2 Degerfors in the Sweden - Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 58%, draw 23%, Degerfors 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Elfsborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5
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