Kalmar 1-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 3 Mar 2024

Kalmar
1-1 HT 0-1
AIK
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.38
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+9.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.07/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.68
-9% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -45%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AIK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
467 Passes 324
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
04.06.2023 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
07.08.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
17.07.2022 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
23.09.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
18.07.2021 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
1-1
AWAY AIK
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar and AIK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kalmar had 62% of the ball to AIK's 38%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kalmar and 1.00 for AIK.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs AIK?

Kalmar 1-1 AIK in the Sweden - Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 40%, draw 23%, AIK 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kalmar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✓ Under 2.5
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