GAIS 3-0 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 24%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.90/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.90
+99% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Örgryte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-4 HT 0-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
01.06.2023 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
29.09.2021 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
03.08.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
28.09.2020 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
22.08.2020 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
3-0
AWAY Örgryte
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS cruised past Örgryte 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had GAIS as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, GAIS had 60% of the ball to Örgryte's 40%, shots finished 25-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GAIS had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for GAIS and 0.67 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Örgryte?

GAIS 3-0 Örgryte in the Sweden - Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split GAIS 51%, draw 25%, Örgryte 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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