Gefle 1-2 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 3 Mar 2024

Gefle
1-2 HT 1-0
Örebro
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2023/2024

Gefle vs Örebro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gefle v Örebro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 58%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/0.01
-100% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Gefle vs Örebro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Örebro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Gefle Gefle 2-1 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
04.06.2023 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
26.09.2016 Örebro Örebro 2-2 HT 2-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
19.05.2016 Gefle Gefle 0-4 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
19.10.2015 Gefle Gefle 2-2 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
24.05.2015 Örebro Örebro 1-0 HT 1-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ

Gefle 1-2 Örebro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
1-2
AWAY Örebro
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro nicked a narrow win over Gefle 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Örebro as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gefle had 39% of the ball to Örebro's 61%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örebro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gefle and 2.00 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Örebro?

Gefle 1-2 Örebro in the Sweden - Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gefle 28%, draw 24%, Örebro 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örebro), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Örebro) ✓ Over 2.5
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