19/04/2025
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
24%
Draw
24%
38%
Away Win
45%
41%
Under 2.5
42%
59%
Over 2.5
58%
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
40%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lecce U20 v Fiorentina U20 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lecce U20
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fiorentina U20
EU Bookmakers 49%
+17% /
+17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+14% /
+14%
0.75/0.52
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.51/1.12
-50%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+1%
/
+41%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
344 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
348 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.6
Yellow Cards
1.8
Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Lecce U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Fiorentina U20
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
46%
Ball Possession
54%
24
Total Shots
13
13
Shots on Target
8
10
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lecce U20 beat Fiorentina U20 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lecce U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20?
Lecce U20 3-1 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lecce U20 38%, draw 24%, Fiorentina U20 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTAPŞ1
More Italy - Primavera Championship
19 Apr 2025