Lecce U20 3-1 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 49%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.75/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.12
-50% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
24 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 1-2 HT 0-0 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce U20 beat Fiorentina U20 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lecce U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Lecce U20 3-1 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lecce U20 38%, draw 24%, Fiorentina U20 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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